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Floods, Drought, and Famine: The Story of Climate Refugees

Due to the climate crisis, millions will be forced to migrate to escape natural disasters. However, the current legal framework surrounding refugees does not account for these climate refugees, raising questions about the future.

Flood Emergency Response in Pakistan. Asian Development Bank. CC 2.0

Kiribati is sinking. Due to rising sea levels exacerbated by climate change, it is estimated that the small Pacific island nation will be underwater by 2100. This poses an immense threat to Kiribati’s 114,189 citizens, many of whom are at the risk of losing their homes and livelihoods to the rapidly rising seas. 

Kiribati is not alone; many countries across the world are facing climate-related hardships such as drought, flooding, rising seas and increased hurricane frequency. The Institute for Economics and Peace estimates climate change may displace 1.2 billion people by 2050, mostly in developing nations ill-equipped to deal with natural disasters. This issue of climate change-induced displacement has led to the creation of a new type of refugee: the climate refugee.  

The term “refugee” typically conjures up an image of someone fleeing sudden violence or persecution, not comparatively gradual changes in the climate. This is reflected in the language of the UN’s 1951 Refugee Convention, which defines a refugee as “someone who is unable or unwilling to return to their country of origin owing to a well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group, or political opinion.” Climate refugees are currently not afforded any legal protections by the United Nations, and the agency argues the current definition of refugee is sufficient. However, the dramatic rise in the number of people displaced due to environmental reasons has led to calls for climate refugees to be afforded full refugee status under international law. 

In 2015, Kiribati citizen Ioane Teitiota sued the government of New Zealand to become the first climate refugee. Teitiota argued he had lost his house to the sea, salt water had flooded his lands, and therefore by deporting him back to Kiribati, the New Zealand government was effectively dooming his family to poverty and instability. Teitiota’s argument was rejected on the grounds that he did not fit the criteria of a refugee under the 1951 Convention, and that changes in the climate did not pose an imminent danger. 

The case of Ioane Teitiota and Kiribati raises questions that wealthy countries such as New Zealand will increasingly be forced to deal with. One question is that of equity; what does the Global North, responsible for 72% of historical emissions, owe to the people of the Global South who will bear the brunt of climate change related displacement? Extreme heat waves in India, flooding in Senegal and drought in Guatemala have already sent waves of migrants searching for a more hospitable environment. However, since current international law lacks a sufficient mechanism to support climate refugees, many will be turned away as Teitiota was. 

To Get Involved 

As climate patterns continue to become more extreme, millions will be displaced from their homes and forced to change their way of life. Climate Refugees is an organization that seeks to support climate refugees through advocacy aimed at shaping policy. The Environmental Justice Foundation fights for legal protections for climate refugees while also pressuring governments to reduce their emissions. The International Organization for Migration seeks to provide humanitarian aid to refugees while working with governments to facilitate cooperation on climate-related issues. 


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Climate Change Will Displace Millions in Coming Decades: Nations Should Prepare Now to Help Them

The World’s Newest Type of Migrants: Climate Refugees


Ronan is a sophomore at the University of California Berkeley studying history. He is an associate editor of Clio's Scroll, Berkeley's undergraduate history journal, and rows for the Cal Lightweight Crew team. He loves hiking and exploring the outdoors and is passionate about protecting the environment and preserving outdoor spaces. In his spare time he enjoys reading, running, and hanging out with his dogs.